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Conversion & Retention

Growth & Lifecycle Marketing

From first-order conversion to repeat purchases and reactivation, I segment users by lifecycle stage and match each stage with relevant benefits, tasks and outreach. I review conversion, retention and cost together to refine the approach.

01

Lifecycle segmentation and operating framework

StageDefinition & criteriaObjectiveCharacteristicsStrategyToolsMetrics
New

Registered, no orders

Registered; lifetime orders = 0

First-order conversionPrice-sensitive, reliant on new-user coupons; retention is not yet stable.Segment by time since registration, acquisition channel, field vs. other sources and language; offer new-user coupon bundles and fallback coupons.Instant coupon drops, campaign plans, coupon bundles, hesitation-triggered offersFirst-order rate, cost per first order, coupon redemption, CM3
Activation

First order completed

Registered within 30 days; 1–2 lifetime orders

Second and third orders within 7 daysPrice-sensitive, reliant on new-user coupons; retention is not yet stable.Use tiered benefits and tasks to encourage consecutive orders after the first purchase.Task center, second- and third-order coupons, push / SMSSecond-order rate, third-order rate, 7-day repeat purchase
Growth

Developing a repeat-order habit

More than 2 lifetime orders; 1–5 orders in the past 30 days

Increase frequency and repeat purchasesDeveloping restaurant preferences, open to recommendations and potential loyalty.Tailor subsidies by order frequency, average order value, cuisine category and price sensitivity.Campaign plans, tasks, hesitation-triggered offersOrder frequency, 30-day repeat purchase, order volume, consumer subsidy rate
Maturity

High-value core users

At least 6 orders in the past 30 days; consistent ordering for 2 consecutive months

Retain high-value usersHigh order value and frequency; proactively opens the app and is less reliant on subsidies.Prioritize reminders about existing benefits; offer light incentives to users without coupons and limit contact frequency.Membership, expiry reminders, small-value couponsRetention, membership orders, user payments, CM3
Declining activity

Reduced activity / churn warning

No order in 14 days OR order frequency down at least 50% over a 30-day period

Prevent churnMay be switching to competitors, facing experience issues or ordering less.Identify users whose recent ordering has declined; tailor interventions by user value and competitive context.Win-back coupons, push / SMS, instant coupon dropsReactivation rate, churn rate, subsidy ROI
Lapsed

Dormant users

No orders for more than 30 consecutive days

Segmented reactivationNo longer actively ordering on the platform.Differentiate win-back bundles for high-, medium- and low-value lapsed users, with controlled contact frequency.Win-back campaigns, SMS, coupon bundlesReactivation rate, cost per reactivated user, 7/30-day retention
Reactivated

Ordered again after lapsing

Previously lapsed; placed a new order within the past 7 days

Retain returning usersActive again, with a need to rebuild ordering frequency.Follow reactivation with second-order and frequency-building tasks to prevent another lapse.Return-user tasks, frequency-building coupons, push / SMSPost-reactivation second-order rate, 30-day retention
Other / UnknownUsers awaiting classificationProvide baseline benefits and enrich user tags—Provide general benefits while continuing to improve user tagging.General coupons, baseline outreachTag coverage, conversion rate

CASE STUDY · U.S. MEMBERSHIP GROWTH

Membership growth: from strategy to execution

The following sections form one membership case. I applied the lifecycle framework to review membership performance, select tools and outreach strategies, plan execution and estimate contribution.

02

Strategy review and execution

U.S. membership operations: review penetration, order frequency, renewal and contribution margin, then translate the diagnosis into segmented actions and operating targets.

Diagnosis

Membership penetration and renewal improved year over year, while benefit utilization declined. The priority was to make membership benefits easier to use and increase repeat ordering.

Strategy

Bring high-quality users into membership; improve member lifetime value through repeat-order tasks, scenario-based benefits and a membership growth system.

Execution

Differentiate offers by city, user value and order value; remove benefit-claim restrictions, coordinate in-app plans with SMS and push, and use tasks to encourage second and third orders.

03

Operating targets and expected contribution

The following compares the current baseline with planning targets. These are expected contributions, rather than completed results.

MetricCurrentTargetExpected change
Paying members75,57180,248+4,677
Member orders358,538452,447+93,909
Member order frequency5.385.48+0.10
Member penetration54.57%57.57%+3.00 pp
Member order share68.25%71.20%+2.95 pp
04

From segmentation to execution

Membership conversion

Differentiate member and non-member benefits, simplify benefit claiming and test membership selection in the ordering flow. Extend trial membership in locations with strong supply and user quality.

Dormant and lapsed users

Group users by recent visits, time since last order and order value. Coordinate coupon validity, SMS reminders and push notifications with each segment.

Consecutive orders and frequency

Use two orders in seven days or three orders in seven days as task structures. Adjust thresholds and rewards by order value, and introduce multi-scenario tasks for users who order in only one scenario.

05

How I break down expected contribution

LeverContribution pathwayMetrics to track
Ordering-flow optimizationCheckout reach × membership exposure × membership purchase conversion → new paying membersCheckout users, exposure, purchase conversion, new members
Trial membershipEligible new / lapsed audience × active share × membership payment conversion → paying membersEligible audience, active users, trial users, paying members
Renewal and benefit valueImprove the value difference between membership and non-membership benefits → renewalExpiring members, 7-day renewal rate, subsidy rate, benefit value gap
Frequency and contribution marginAdditional member orders and changes in per-order subsidy / CM3 → contribution estimateMember orders, order frequency, per-order subsidy, CM3

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